Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
79%
15%
6%
Home win
79.1%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
5.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 5.8% | 17.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.8% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Stoke City | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
7.1
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.5
|
8.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.5
|
6.5
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.