Saturday 17 December 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
45%
27%
28%
Home win
44.7%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
27.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Leicester | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Leicester | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
7.6
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
13.1
|
6.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.1
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Leicester
1-1
Stoke City
Nov 2017
Stoke City
2-2
Leicester
Apr 2017
Leicester
2-0
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.