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Saturday 10 December 2016, 19:30 King Power Stadium Full time
26% 24% 51%
Home win
25.5%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
50.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 25.5% 3.92
Draw 23.6% 4.23
Manchester City 50.8% 1.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.13
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.7% 6.00
Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.2% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 3.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.60
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 49.2% 2.03
Leicester / Manchester City 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Manchester City 74.5% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
7.2
7.4
4.7
2.2
0.8
1
4.7
10.7
9.6
6.0
2.9
1.1
2
3.5
6.5
6.2
3.9
1.9
0.7
3
1.5
2.8
2.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.5
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.