Saturday 26 November 2016, 14:30
Turf Moor
Full time
18%
23%
58%
Home win
18.3%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
58.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Burnley / Manchester City | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
10.3
|
10.3
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
11.2
|
9.9
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
5.1
|
4.8
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Burnley
0-1
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
5-1
Burnley
Jan 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Burnley
Aug 2023
Burnley
0-3
Manchester City
Apr 2022
Burnley
0-2
Manchester City
Oct 2021
Manchester City
2-0
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.