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Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
22% 21% 57%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
57.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 22.3% 4.48
Draw 20.7% 4.83
Manchester City 57.0% 1.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.61
Over 1.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.2% 8.91
Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 2.5 28.7% 3.48
Over 3.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 3.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 4.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 4.5 68.9% 1.45

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.2% 1.47
No 31.8% 3.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 43.0% 2.32
Crystal Palace / Manchester City 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Manchester City 77.7% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
5.2
6.5
5.0
2.9
1.3
1
3.0
8.5
9.2
7.0
4.0
1.8
2
2.4
5.6
6.4
4.9
2.8
1.3
3
1.1
2.6
3.0
2.3
1.3
0.6
4
0.4
0.9
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
5
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.