Saturday 29 October 2016, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
55%
27%
18%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
18.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Burnley | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Burnley | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
12.4
|
4.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
9.2
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
3-2
Burnley
Apr 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-1
Manchester United
Dec 2021
Manchester United
3-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.