Sunday 23 October 2016, 18:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
30.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Manchester United | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
9.3
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.8
|
7.0
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.4
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Manchester United
Sep 2025
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
May 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Manchester United
Nov 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
4-3
Manchester United
Dec 2023
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.