Saturday 15 October 2016, 14:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
50%
26%
24%
Home win
49.8%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Leicester | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 12.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Leicester | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
6.6
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
12.5
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.5
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
5.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Leicester
Nov 2024
Leicester
1-2
Chelsea
Mar 2023
Leicester
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2022
Chelsea
2-1
Leicester
May 2022
Chelsea
1-1
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
0-3
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.