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Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
37% 28% 35%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
35.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 37.2% 2.69
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Leicester 35.3% 2.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.95
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.60
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.1% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 64.7% 1.55
Sunderland / Leicester 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Leicester 62.8% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
8.4
6.0
2.6
0.9
0.2
1
8.7
13.1
8.1
3.5
1.2
0.3
2
6.4
8.4
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.9
3.8
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.