Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
45%
25%
30%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
30.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Leicester | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Watford / Leicester | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
6.0
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
11.7
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.2
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
5.1
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Nov 2021
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Jun 2020
Watford
1-1
Leicester
Dec 2019
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2018
Leicester
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.