Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
46%
29%
25%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
25.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Burnley | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Burnley | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
8.5
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.5
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.8
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.