Monday 31 October 2016, 22:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
42%
28%
30%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
30.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Swansea | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Swansea | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
8.5
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
13.5
|
7.1
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
8.7
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.0
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.