Saturday 22 April 2017, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
37%
27%
36%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
36.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.9% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Swansea / Stoke City | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
8.3
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.0
|
8.3
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.3
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.8
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.