Saturday 1 April 2017, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
41%
28%
32%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
31.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Leicester / Stoke City | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
8.1
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
13.2
|
7.6
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
8.7
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
4.1
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Leicester
1-1
Stoke City
Nov 2017
Stoke City
2-2
Leicester
Dec 2016
Stoke City
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.