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Saturday 24 February 2018, 14:30 King Power Stadium Full time
60% 23% 18%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
17.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 59.7% 1.67
Draw 22.5% 4.44
Stoke City 17.8% 5.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.56
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.09
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.1% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 82.2% 1.22
Leicester / Stoke City 77.5% 1.29
Draw / Stoke City 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
4.5
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
9.5
10.6
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
10.0
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.6
6.6
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.3
3.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.