Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
20.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Stoke City | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
11.1
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2017
Stoke City
1-2
Bournemouth
May 2017
Bournemouth
2-2
Stoke City
Nov 2016
Stoke City
0-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.