Wednesday 31 January 2018, 21:45
Stamford Bridge
Full time
78%
15%
7%
Home win
77.7%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
7.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 7.3% | 13.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.66 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Bournemouth | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
7.2
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
8.7
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
7.5
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea
May 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.