Skip to content
Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
58% 21% 21%
Home win
58.0%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
21.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 58.0% 1.72
Draw 20.7% 4.84
Swansea 21.4% 4.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 31.94
Over 1.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.8% 8.51
Over 2.5 70.3% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.7% 3.37
Over 3.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 3.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 4.5 30.0% 3.33
Under 4.5 70.0% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.0% 1.49
No 33.0% 3.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 78.6% 1.27
West Ham / Swansea 79.4% 1.26
Draw / Swansea 42.0% 2.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
3.1
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
1
5.5
8.6
5.5
2.5
0.8
0.2
2
6.9
9.3
6.3
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
5.3
7.1
4.8
2.1
0.7
0.2
4
3.0
4.0
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.4
1.8
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.