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Monday 26 December 2016, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–4
HT 0–1
46% 24% 30%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
30.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 45.9% 2.18
Draw 24.1% 4.15
West Ham 30.0% 3.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.03
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.23
Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.6% 2.47
Under 3.5 59.4% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.6% 4.43
Under 4.5 77.4% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.2% 1.56
No 35.8% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 70.0% 1.43
Swansea / West Ham 75.9% 1.32
Draw / West Ham 54.1% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
5.0
4.0
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
6.5
10.8
7.3
3.5
1.2
0.4
2
6.4
9.2
6.6
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.9
5.5
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.7
2.5
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.