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Saturday 10 December 2016, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 0–0
44% 26% 30%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
30.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 44.1% 2.27
Draw 25.7% 3.88
Sunderland 30.1% 3.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.35
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.86
Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 3.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.87
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 69.9% 1.43
Swansea / Sunderland 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Sunderland 55.9% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
6.4
4.6
2.0
0.6
0.2
1
8.1
12.1
7.4
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.2
6.0
2.6
0.8
0.2
3
3.8
4.9
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.5
2.0
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.