Saturday 26 November 2016, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
39%
26%
35%
Home win
39.0%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
35.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Swansea / Crystal Palace | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
6.8
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
12.0
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.6
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.4
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Swansea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Aug 2017
Crystal Palace
0-2
Swansea
Jan 2017
Crystal Palace
1-2
Swansea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.