Tuesday 3 January 2017, 22:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
69%
17%
15%
Home win
68.6%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.8% | 5.97 | — | — |
| Swansea | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 46.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.5% | 11.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.6% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Swansea | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
6.6
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.6
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
7.9
|
5.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
5.5
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
3.1
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2017
Swansea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Aug 2017
Crystal Palace
0-2
Swansea
Nov 2016
Swansea
5-4
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.