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Wednesday 14 December 2016, 22:00 Selhurst Park Full time
38% 25% 37%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
37.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 38.1% 2.62
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Manchester United 37.0% 2.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.23
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.81
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.4% 1.58
No 36.6% 2.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 63.0% 1.59
Crystal Palace / Manchester United 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Manchester United 61.9% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
6.1
5.2
2.7
1.1
0.3
1
6.2
11.3
8.3
4.3
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.4
6.6
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
2.9
4.5
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.1
1.8
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.