Sunday 6 November 2016, 17:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
29%
30%
41%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
41.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Swansea / Manchester United | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
12.3
|
8.2
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.9
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
6.6
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Manchester United
2-0
Swansea
Aug 2017
Swansea
0-4
Manchester United
Apr 2017
Manchester United
1-1
Swansea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.