Monday 26 December 2016, 14:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
47%
22%
30%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 32.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| No | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Watford / Crystal Palace | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
3.6
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
8.9
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.7
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
5.9
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
3.0
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Feb 2022
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Mar 2020
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2019
Crystal Palace
1-2
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.