Saturday 3 December 2016, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
22.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Watford | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| West Brom / Watford | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
5.8
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
11.9
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.