Saturday 3 March 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
45%
28%
26%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 45.4% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| West Brom | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.2% | 9.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Watford / West Brom | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / West Brom | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.4
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.0
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.