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Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
48% 24% 28%
Home win
47.7%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 47.7% 2.10
Draw 24.2% 4.13
Watford 28.1% 3.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.55
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.87
Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 3.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 3.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 4.5 78.8% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.6% 1.60
No 37.4% 2.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 71.9% 1.39
West Ham / Watford 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Watford 52.3% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
5.1
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
7.1
11.0
7.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.9
9.4
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.2
5.7
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.9
2.6
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Watford goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.