Saturday 30 September 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
48%
28%
24%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
23.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Watford | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| West Brom / Watford | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
7.8
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
13.2
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.1
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.