Saturday 24 February 2018, 19:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
35%
26%
39%
Home win
35.4%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
38.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Everton | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.4% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Watford / Everton | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
7.1
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
11.9
|
8.6
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.2
|
6.3
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.0
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
0-0
Everton
Oct 2021
Everton
2-5
Watford
Feb 2020
Watford
2-3
Everton
Aug 2019
Everton
1-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Watford
1-0
Everton
Dec 2018
Everton
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.