Wednesday 14 December 2016, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
74%
15%
11%
Home win
73.6%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
11.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.9% | 6.70 | — | — |
| Watford | 11.5% | 8.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.0% | 50.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.0% | 12.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Watford | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
5.9
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
8.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
8.2
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
3.6
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Manchester City
5-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-3
Manchester City
Jul 2020
Watford
0-4
Manchester City
Sep 2019
Manchester City
8-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Manchester City
3-1
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.