Saturday 10 December 2016, 14:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
37%
28%
35%
Home win
37.1%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
35.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Everton | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Watford / Everton | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
8.7
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
13.3
|
8.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.3
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.7
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Watford
0-0
Everton
Oct 2021
Everton
2-5
Watford
Feb 2020
Watford
2-3
Everton
Aug 2019
Everton
1-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Watford
1-0
Everton
Dec 2018
Everton
2-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.