Sunday 26 August 2018, 15:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
39%
27%
34%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
33.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Watford / Crystal Palace | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
7.7
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
12.8
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Feb 2022
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Mar 2020
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2019
Crystal Palace
1-2
Watford
Apr 2018
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.