Saturday 21 April 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
40%
27%
34%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Watford / Crystal Palace | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
7.3
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
12.5
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.7
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Feb 2022
Watford
1-4
Crystal Palace
Mar 2020
Crystal Palace
1-0
Watford
Dec 2019
Watford
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2019
Crystal Palace
1-2
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.