Saturday 14 April 2018, 17:00
John Smith's Stadium
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
34.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Watford | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield / Draw | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Huddersfield / Watford | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
13.7
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.1
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Huddersfield
1-2
Watford
Oct 2018
Watford
3-0
Huddersfield
Dec 2017
Watford
1-4
Huddersfield
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.