Saturday 10 March 2018, 19:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
7.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 7.9% | 12.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.7% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Crystal Palace | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
7.7
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
8.9
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.3
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.6
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2025
Chelsea
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2025
Crystal Palace
1-1
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.