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Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
49% 25% 26%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 48.5% 2.06
Draw 25.1% 3.98
Crystal Palace 26.4% 3.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.61
Over 1.5 79.6% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.4% 4.91
Over 2.5 56.0% 1.78
Under 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.79
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.3% 1.72
No 41.7% 2.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 73.6% 1.36
Bournemouth / Crystal Palace 74.9% 1.34
Draw / Crystal Palace 51.5% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
5.8
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.5
11.8
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.5
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.5
5.5
3.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.9
2.3
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.