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Saturday 3 March 2018, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
50% 24% 26%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 50.4% 1.99
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Bournemouth 25.6% 3.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.36
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.57
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.4% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.6% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.65
No 39.2% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Leicester / Bournemouth 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Bournemouth 49.6% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
5.1
3.6
1.5
0.5
0.1
1
7.7
11.1
6.6
2.8
0.9
0.2
2
7.6
9.6
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
4.7
5.9
3.7
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
2.1
2.7
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.8
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.