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Saturday 28 April 2018, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
41% 27% 33%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
32.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 40.5% 2.47
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Leicester 32.9% 3.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.81
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 3.5 30.9% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.1% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.3% 6.52
Under 4.5 84.7% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.4% 1.74
No 42.6% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 67.1% 1.49
Crystal Palace / Leicester 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Leicester 59.5% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
7.3
5.3
2.3
0.8
0.2
1
8.3
12.6
7.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
8.8
5.8
2.6
0.8
0.2
3
3.3
4.4
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.2
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.