Skip to content
Saturday 31 March 2018, 17:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
36% 29% 35%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 36.3% 2.75
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Leicester 34.7% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.55
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.43
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.35
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.89
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.5% 1.98
No 49.5% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Brighton / Leicester 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Leicester 63.7% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
9.7
6.3
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
10.0
13.7
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.7
8.0
4.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
3
2.7
3.3
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.