Saturday 14 April 2018, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
42%
30%
28%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
28.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Leicester | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Burnley / Leicester | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
13.9
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.4
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Burnley
0-2
Leicester
Sep 2021
Leicester
2-2
Burnley
Mar 2021
Burnley
1-1
Leicester
Sep 2020
Leicester
4-2
Burnley
Jan 2020
Burnley
2-1
Leicester
Oct 2019
Leicester
2-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.