Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
50%
27%
23%
Home win
49.8%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
23.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Leicester / Newcastle | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
7.1
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
12.8
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Dec 2024
Newcastle
4-0
Leicester
May 2023
Newcastle
0-0
Leicester
Dec 2022
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Apr 2022
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2021
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.