Saturday 3 March 2018, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
74%
17%
9%
Home win
74.0%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
9.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 9.0% | 11.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Newcastle | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
8.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.2
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Liverpool
4-1
Newcastle
Aug 2025
Newcastle
2-3
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Newcastle
Dec 2024
Newcastle
3-3
Liverpool
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-2
Newcastle
Aug 2023
Newcastle
1-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.