Thursday 19 April 2018, 21:45
King Power Stadium
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
21.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Southampton | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Leicester / Southampton | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
12.1
|
5.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Leicester
2-0
Southampton
Oct 2024
Southampton
2-3
Leicester
Mar 2023
Southampton
1-0
Leicester
Aug 2022
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
May 2022
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.