Saturday 11 August 2018, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
42%
29%
28%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
28.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Brighton | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.4% | 9.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.9% | 11.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Watford / Brighton | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.4
|
9.1
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
13.8
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
8.5
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Watford
0-2
Brighton
Aug 2021
Brighton
2-0
Watford
Feb 2020
Brighton
1-1
Watford
Aug 2019
Watford
0-3
Brighton
Feb 2019
Brighton
0-0
Watford
Dec 2017
Brighton
1-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.