Sunday 13 May 2018, 17:00
Anfield
Full time
74%
18%
9%
Home win
73.8%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
8.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Brighton | 8.7% | 11.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Brighton | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
8.3
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
9.1
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
2-1
Liverpool
Dec 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Brighton
May 2025
Brighton
3-2
Liverpool
Nov 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Mar 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Oct 2023
Brighton
2-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.