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Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:30 Stamford Bridge Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
46% 25% 29%
Home win
46.2%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
28.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 46.2% 2.16
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Liverpool 28.6% 3.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.36
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.10
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.7% 1.68
No 40.3% 2.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 71.4% 1.40
Chelsea / Liverpool 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Liverpool 53.8% 1.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
5.9
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
1
7.9
11.7
7.1
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.3
9.4
6.0
2.6
0.8
0.2
3
4.1
5.3
3.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
1.7
2.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.