Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
46%
25%
29%
Home win
46.2%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
28.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Liverpool | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
5.9
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.9
|
11.7
|
7.1
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.4
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
5.3
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
Aug 2023
Chelsea
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.