Saturday 7 April 2018, 14:30
Goodison Park
Full time
26%
24%
50%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
50.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Everton / Liverpool | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
7.1
|
7.3
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.7
|
9.5
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.6
|
6.3
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.9
|
2.7
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Everton
1-2
Liverpool
Sep 2025
Liverpool
2-1
Everton
Apr 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Everton
Feb 2025
Everton
2-2
Liverpool
Apr 2024
Everton
2-0
Liverpool
Oct 2023
Liverpool
2-0
Everton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.