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Saturday 17 March 2018, 17:00 bet365 Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
31% 28% 41%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
41.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City 31.0% 3.22
Draw 27.5% 3.63
Everton 41.5% 2.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.55
Over 1.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.5% 3.93
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 27.0% 3.70
Under 3.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.91
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.9% 1.86
No 46.1% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City / Draw 58.5% 1.71
Stoke City / Everton 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Everton 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
9.6
7.3
3.5
1.2
0.4
1
7.9
13.1
8.8
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
5.2
7.4
5.3
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
2.1
3.0
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.