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Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:30 Goodison Park Full time
18% 22% 61%
Home win
17.5%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
60.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 17.5% 5.70
Draw 21.7% 4.61
Manchester City 60.8% 1.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.03
Over 1.5 82.4% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.6% 5.67
Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 3.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 3.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.5% 4.88
Under 4.5 79.5% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.1% 1.75
No 42.9% 2.33

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 39.3% 2.55
Everton / Manchester City 78.3% 1.28
Draw / Manchester City 82.5% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
8.6
9.6
6.6
3.4
1.4
1
4.0
10.1
9.9
6.9
3.6
1.5
2
2.4
5.0
5.2
3.6
1.9
0.8
3
0.8
1.7
1.8
1.2
0.6
0.3
4
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.