Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:30
Goodison Park
Full time
18%
22%
61%
Home win
17.5%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
60.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Everton / Manchester City | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
8.6
|
9.6
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
10.1
|
9.9
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.0
|
5.2
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.7
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Everton
3-3
Manchester City
Oct 2025
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Everton
0-2
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Everton
Feb 2024
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.